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Ukraine at risk of losing eastern city, war threatens global stability

Ukraine's forces in Sievierodonetsk are struggling to hold onto the eastern city and they may be forced to retreat. The global outlook continues to worsen as concerns grow over the war causing food shortages and major economic storms.

(CN) — Ukraine on Wednesday faced the difficult choice of being forced to abandon the eastern city of Sievierodonetsk as its troops clung onto the city’s industrial zone but were at risk of being cut off. 

Since the start of the big battle over Donbas on April 19, fighting in eastern Ukraine has been centered on the capture of Sievierodonetsk and the neighboring city of Lysychansk. Both cities are coming under heavy shelling and images show widespread destruction. Together, the two cities, divided by the Seversky Donets River, had a pre-war population of about 200,000.  

The cities make up the last bit of territory still under Ukrainian control in the Luhansk region, which has been at the center of fighting since 2014 when Kremlin-backed armed rebels declared the region independent from Kyiv.   

By Wednesday, Ukrainian forces reportedly held onto only the industrial part of Sievierodonetsk and they were at risk of being forced to retreat or continue a desperate fight. Reportedly, there are heated disagreements within Ukraine’s government about whether it is best to fight for every inch of ground in the east, at the risk of losing many troops, or commit to tactical retreats and regroup for counteroffensives with the aid of new advanced Western weapons.  

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy issued new statements in an interview with the Financial Times where he vowed his country will not give up any territory before suing for peace. He said victory “should be achieved on the battlefield.”  

Zelenskyy also said Russia must be prevented from breaking through Ukrainian defenses in Donbas, the name given to eastern Ukraine.   

“I would like people to understand that war can be everywhere, because if there is a breakthrough in the Donbas, it will be very difficult for us,” he said. “Where can they go? If they go to the south of our state, there will be constant missile attacks on the center of Ukraine, on to all our strategic enterprises.”  

In a situation similar to what happened in the devastated southeastern port city of Mariupol, Ukrainian soldiers and about 800 civilians are reportedly holed up inside the Soviet-era bunkers under the large Azot chemical plant in Sievierodonetsk. In Mariupol, civilians trapped in the Azovstal steelworks were allowed to leave after weeks of negotiations and then Ukrainian soldiers inside the bunkers eventually surrendered.    

Elsewhere on the front lines, Russian forces were attacking and making limited progress. Both sides are taking heavy losses and on Tuesday the death of a Russian commander, Major General Roman Kutuzov, was confirmed. Russia has lost several generals in the invasion. U.S. intelligence has reportedly provided Ukraine help with locating the positions of commanders.  

Russia’s defense ministry claimed its forces have seized Sviatohirsk, which lies about 40 miles west of Sievierodonetsk. The town is in the Donetsk region and sits on the path Russian forces are seeking to seize so they can encircle Ukrainian forces in Lysychansk and Sievierodonetsk.  

During battles over Sviatohirsk , a town of about 4,000 people, an important Orthodox monastery – the Sviatohirsk Lavra – came under fire, killing two monks and a nun, according to a church report. Church buildings were also damaged.  

Civilians continue to die from Russian shelling, but Ukrainian forces also are accused of continuing to launch rockets at cities held by Russian and pro-Russian Ukrainian forces and killing civilians.   

Alarm over the war’s dire consequences is heating up as concerns mount over possible global food shortages, a major economic downturn and the spread of unrest and war.  

On Tuesday, the World Bank issued a grim outlook report and warned that the global economy faces a long period of weak growth and high inflation – a situation similar to the crippling stagflation of the 1970s.  It cut its growth forecast for this year from 4.1% to 2.9%. 

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Scattered grain sits inside a warehouse damaged by Russian attacks in Cherkaska Lozova, Ukraine, on the outskirts of Kharkiv, on May 28, 2022. (AP Photo/Bernat Armangue, File)

“The war in Ukraine, lockdowns in China, supply chain disruptions and the risk of stagflation are hammering growth. For many countries, recession will be hard to avoid,” said David Malpass, the bank’s president. 

Meanwhile, anger is building over how the war is stopping grain and fertilizer shipments from leaving Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. Ships cannot transit the sea because of a naval blockade by Russian warships and sea mines placed by Ukraine. Ukraine exports enough grain to feed about 400 million people. This year’s harvest is expected to be much lower too, compounding problems.  

On Tuesday, Charles Michel, the head of the European Council, accused Russia of causing a food crisis that threatens to leave millions of people, especially in the poorest regions of the world, at risk of famine.  

“This is driving up food prices, pushing people into poverty and destabilizing entire regions,” Michel said, speaking at a United Nations Security Council. “Russia is solely responsible for this looming food crisis. Russia alone.” 

His criticism prompted Russia’s U.N. ambassador, Vassily Nebenzia, to leave the chamber in disgust. The Kremlin blames the West’s unprecedented wave of sanctions on Russia for causing the looming economic and food disasters.   

“You may leave the room, maybe it's easier not to listen to the truth, dear ambassador,” Michel said.  

The rhetoric coming from politicians is getting fiercer too as the war drags on. 

On Tuesday, Dmitry Medvedev, a former Russian president and deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council, expressed hatred toward opponents of Russia. 

“People often ask me why my posts in Telegram are so harsh,” he wrote on his Telegram social media page. “The answer is that I hate them. They are bastards and geeks. They want death for us, Russia. And as long as I am alive, I will do everything to make them disappear.” 

In an interview with the Guardian newspaper, Yulia Tymoshenko, a former Ukrainian prime minister and politician, described Russian President Vladimir Putin as “absolutely rational, cold, cruel, black evil” and said Russia was intent on wiping out Ukraine as an independent state and committing genocide against Ukrainians. She said it was necessary to “kill this evil.”  

“This is a great battle for our territory and our freedom. It’s a historic chance for the free world to kill this evil,” she said. 

With bigger and more advanced Western weapons heading to Ukraine and Russia sending more troops and arms to the front lines, the war seems set to escalate further on the battlefield and off it. 

On Wednesday, Russian media reported that more than 1,000 captured Ukrainian soldiers who held out against Russian forces in Mariupol were being transferred to Russia to face investigations and likely war crimes trials. 

Many of the captured Ukrainian soldiers were members of the Azov Regiment, a part of the Ukrainian army with links to the far right. Russia accuses them of being “Nazis” who committed war crimes in eastern Ukraine. 

Meanwhile, at least two captured British men who volunteered to fight for Ukraine face trial in the self-declared Donetsk People’s Republic and they could even be executed. The death penalty is allowed in the breakaway Ukrainian region. 

Ukraine, too, has begun putting Russian soldiers on trial for war crimes too. So far, at least three soldiers have been convicted and sentenced to serve long prison terms. 

Courthouse News reporter Cain Burdeau is based in the European Union.

Follow @cainburdeau
Categories / Government, International, Politics

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