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As Russia advances, Macron breaks taboo and talks about sending troops to Ukraine; allies say no

French President Emmanuel Macron sparked debate by saying the West must not exclude the possibility of sending troops to Ukraine. But his NATO allies say that's not on the table.

(CN) — Amid alarming Ukrainian losses and retreats on the front lines, NATO and European Union leaders are in the midst of fierce debates about how to best support Kyiv and defeat Russia — and the subject of sending troops, once a taboo, is now up for discussion.

On Monday evening, French President Emmanuel Macron floated the idea that soldiers from NATO countries may need to be sent to Ukraine to hold back Russia in the not-too-distant future.

“There’s no consensus today to send, in an official manner, troops on the ground,” Macron said. “But in terms of dynamics, we cannot exclude anything. We will do everything necessary to prevent Russia from winning this war.”

By Tuesday, his comments had sparked controversy and debates in the Western alliance. Washington, Berlin, London, Warsaw, Prague and other capitals said there were no plans to send large contingents of troops to Ukraine.

This is the first time Western leaders have talked openly about troop deployments to beef up Ukraine's battered forces. Western leaders have said they do not want to get directly involved in the war and warned against escalation.

Until now, small numbers of Western troops and contractors, acting largely as advisers and specialists, have been sent to Ukraine, though their presence remains largely unreported. On Monday, The New York Times reported that CIA personnel and bases are active along the front lines in Ukraine.

Macron's comments came during a news conference at the end of a hastily arranged summit in Paris to rally support for Ukraine at a moment when Kyiv's forces are getting driven back across the front lines in eastern Ukraine. A coalition of countries agreed Monday to step up efforts to provide much-needed ammunition to Ukraine, including medium- and long-range missiles.

Since losing the city of Avdiivka this month, battlefield reports show Russian troops are on the offensive and making significant gains in a war that has seemed until now largely a stalemate. There are growing fears that Ukraine's front lines are collapsing under the superior artillery and manpower strength commanded by Russia. Recent reports of destroyed American hardware, including an Abrams tank and Patriot missile systems, add to the ominous scenario for Ukraine and its Western backers.

The Paris summit also reflected a sense of urgency in Europe that EU powers must play a bigger role in the war as support for Ukraine wavers in the United States. Republicans in Congress have held up a new $60 billion military aid package for Ukraine.

Kyiv's front-line losses and weakening public support for Ukraine in the West have sparked debates in Western policy circles over whether to push for negotiations with the Kremlin to end the war or do whatever is possible to help Ukraine win militarily.

For now, Western leaders remain steadfast in their commitment to arm Ukraine and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy continues to vow that his country is winning the war and even preparing to launch a new offensive. He staked out this position in an interview with Fox News last week on the eve of the war's second anniversary.

On Monday, Macron suggested sending troops to Ukraine may become acceptable in the near future. He pointed out that many Western leaders were against sending Ukraine heavy weapons at the start of the war for fear of escalation but then changed their minds as the war dragged on.

“Two years ago, a lot around this table said that we will offer helmets and sleeping bags, and now they’re saying we need to do more to get missiles and tanks to Ukraine,” he said. “We have to be humble and realize that we’ve always been six to eight months late, so we’ll do what is needed to achieve our aim.”

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He added: “We are determined to do everything necessary for as long as necessary. That is the key takeaway from this evening.”

On Tuesday, key allies rejected the idea of sending troops.

“We agreed that everyone must do more for Ukraine in Paris yesterday,” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said in a statement. “Ukraine needs weapons, ammunition and air defense. We are working on it. It is clear: there will be no ground troops from European countries or NATO.”

Macron also said the EU can no longer rely on Washington and that it must take the lead in supporting Ukraine.

“We cannot wait for the outcome of the American elections to decide what our future is going to be,” he said. “It is the future of Europe that is at stake so therefore it is up to the Europeans to decide. If others want to join in and help, fantastic, but that is just an added bonus.”

Since Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine, Macron has shifted away from a less confrontational stance with Russia to a more adversarial one. His comments on Monday reflected an increasingly hawkish approach from France over events in Eastern Europe.

Macron said the threat from Russia is growing and that there was consensus among EU nations “that we should be ready in a few years for Russia to attack [these] countries.”

“There is a change in Russia’s stance. It is striving to take on further territory and it has its eyes not just on Ukraine but on many other countries as well, so Russia is presenting a greater danger,” he said.

David Cadier, a Russia expert at the University of Groningen, said in an analysis for Carnegie Europe, a think tank, that France is changing its position on expansionist EU and NATO policies in Eastern Europe.

“It is now openly embracing and even promoting it,” he said.

Previously, France viewed involvement in the post-Soviet space “as detrimental to these countries’ security and to Europe’s stability and independent agency,” he wrote.

“More generally, it was dangerous for the EU to pretend to play a geopolitical game without being able or willing to walk the talk,” he said. “Now, France is supporting Ukraine’s NATO membership and explicitly conceptualizing EU enlargement to Ukraine and Moldova as a geopolitical tool.”

He said this shift in Paris has led to France signing “a security agreement with Ukraine, a defense partnership with Ukraine, and arms deal with Armenia.”

Under Macron, he said France “has abandoned its long-pursued endeavor of building the European security architecture” with Russia. Now, he said Paris is seeking to deter Moscow.

In France, Macron's political opponents on the far right and far left blasted the president's statements about sending troops to Ukraine.

“I don't know if anyone realizes the seriousness of such a statement,” said Marine Le Pen, his chief rival and the leader of the far-right National Rally. “Emmanuel Macron plays the war leader, but it is the lives of our children that he speaks about with such carelessness. It is peace or war in our country that is at stake.”

Far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon said sending troops to Ukraine would turn French into “belligerents.”

“War against Russia would be madness,” he wrote on social media. “This belligerent verbal escalation by one nuclear power against another major nuclear power is already an irresponsible act. Parliament must be informed and say no. No war! It is high time to negotiate peace in Ukraine with mutual security clauses!”

Courthouse News reporter Cain Burdeau is based in the European Union.

Follow @cainburdeau
Categories / International, Politics

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