CHICAGO (CN) — Republican Illinois Representative Michael Bost fought a new battle in the GOP's yearslong war on mail-in ballots on Thursday, this time in front of the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals.
Bost represents Illinois' conservative 12th Congressional District, the southernmost district in the state. In May 2022 he and two other minor Illinois Republican party officials sued the state board of elections, hoping to enjoin a state statute which allows for mail-in ballots to be counted up to two calendar weeks after election day.
U.S. District Judge John Kness tossed their case in July 2023, finding the GOP trio lacked standing. Kness said the injuries Bost and his fellow plaintiffs claim they've suffered under the law — spending more on their campaigns, diluting votes in their favor, the specter of voter fraud — were too hypothetical and "not certainly impending" to justify the suit.
On Thursday the three-judge appellate panel raised the same concern, grilling Bost's attorney Russell Nobile over what concrete injuries the congressman might suffer as a result of the law.
Nobile pointed to Illinois' primary election day on March 19 as an example of one such injury, claiming even though his client was in the lead against his opponent — former gubernatorial candidate Darren Bailey — Bost still had to marshal additional resources to keep an eye on the polls until April 2.
"Right now, he's ahead in the count. He has spent nine days monitoring the late-arriving ballots, calling districts, checking the internet, having his staff do it, to make sure that the victory that is believed he received is not taken away by late-arriving ballots," Nobile said.
U.S. Circuit Judge John Lee, a Joe Biden appointee, was immediately skeptical of that argument. He pointed out that Bost handily won the general elections in 2022 and 2020, with margins that exceeded the number of mail-in ballots cast in those races.
"Had he lost every single vote and it had gone the other way in 2020 for Mr. Lenzi and 2022 for Mr. Markel, he still would have won," Lee said. "Is there anything to indicate that wouldn't have?"
Nobile conceded that there wasn't, but pivoted to say this was only a conclusion the court could reach in hindsight.
Before the election was finalized, the attorney reiterated, Bost was left guessing as to his electoral fate for days after election day had passed. He emphasized that Bost has been a public official for nearly three decades, implying the court should trust his instincts about how to monitor an election in a "reasonable" manner.
"He's an expert on running elections nationally; 30 years he's been elected to office," Nobile said.
It's an argument Bost echoed in his appellate brief.
"Remember... that Congressman Bost served in the Illinois House of Representatives for 20 years and has been in Congress for nine years. He has not lost an election in over 30 years," Bost wrote. "With respect to the district court, Congressman Bost understands better than anyone how to effectively use his campaign resources."
Lee remained unconvinced.
He posed the hypothetical of Bost receiving 99% of the district vote on election day, asking if it would still be "reasonable" in that case for Bost to monitor mail-in ballots for the following two weeks. Nobile attempted to wave off this hypothetical as an irrelevant "question of fact," an argument Lee rebuffed immediately.
"Isn't it a question of standing? That is, whether or not he would have received any injury at all? Whether or not, currently the injuries he alleges are hypothetical and speculative in nature?" Lee pressed. "Because who knows? At the end of the whole process maybe he would have won, and maybe he would win by a large margin."