Trump and Clinton Tied in Latest National Poll

     (CN) – A New York Times/CBS News poll released Thursday morning shows Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald tied in a four-way contest including Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
     The sampling of registered voters shows Clinton and Trump with 42 percent each, followed by Libertarian Gary Johnson, who was supported by 8 percent of respondents, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who has 4 percent of voters her corner.
     Clinton fares slightly better than Trump in the poll when Johnson and Stein are excluded from the analysis, with Clinton being preferred by 46 percent of voters, and Trump by 44 percent but the pollsters consider that edge a wash because it falls within the poll’s margin of error.
     Most bracing of all for the two major party candidates, the poll found that neither of them has entirely won over their expected base.
     Even among respondents who said they’ve made up their minds, nearly half said they are voting “against” the other candidate rather than “for” the candidate for whom they’ll vote.
     Just over 43 percent of likely voters said they are very enthusiastic about casting a ballot in November.
     Among those who have chosen their candidate, 53 percent of Trump voters said they are excited about casting their vote in November, compared to just 43 percent of Clinton’s supporters who feel the same way.
     Clinton’s appeal is strongest among women, nonwhites, and younger voters; Trump is doing better among men and whites in general. In fact, when race is considered, Trump and Clinton are virtually tied in terms of support from white women.
     The poll is the first New York Times/CBS News poll of the election cycle to include a measure of likely voters.
     The nationwide telephone survey gathered input from 1,433 registered voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percent.
     The New York Times/CBS News was the most favorable poll for Clinton on Thursday.
     The latest Los Angeles Times/USC Tracking poll shows Trump with a six point lead nationally, besting Clinton 41 percent to 41 percent, while the latest Rasmussen poll has Trump up by 2 percent nationally over Clinton.
     The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 42 percent support to Clinton’s 40 percent.
     Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson garnered seven percent of the vote, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein earns two percent.
     Another two percent said they like some other candidate, and seven percent are undecided.
     Clinton led Trump 43 percent to 39 percent a week ago and has trailed the GOP nominee only one time since mid-July. Still, the race has remained a close one for months, within or just outside the survey’s plus or minus three percent margin of error.
     Clinton earned 74 percent support among Democratic voters, while 76 percent of Republicans favor Trump. Trump has pulled slightly ahead of Clinton 36 percent to 32 percent among voters not affiliated with either political party.
     Johnson has the support of six percent of Republicans, two percent of Democrats and 15 percent of unaffiliateds.
     Stein got just one percent support from GOP voters, two percent of Democrats and three percent of unaffiliated voters.
     The of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 12-13, 2016.
     This latest Rasmussen survey of 1,000 likely voters was taken after Clinton’s fainting spell at Sunday’s 9/11 ceremony in New York City and after her campaign’s release of a statement saying she is suffering from pneumonia.
     Democrats aren’t worried about Clinton’s health, but most other voters feel she may not be physically up to the job.
     This week’s survey found Trump with a six-point advantage among men and in a near tie among women.
     Clinton remained ahead among those under 40 but trails among older voters.
     The Democratic nominee is the choice of 73 percent of liberal voters and holds a 45 percent to 31 percent advantage among moderates. Seventy-two percent of conservatives prefer Trump.
     Rasmussen found that voters strongly agree that a candidate’s health is an important voting issue, but while most Republicans and unaffiliated voters think the state of Clinton’s health is worth exploring, the majority of Democrats disagree.
     Clinton is scheduled to return to campaign trail with an appearance in North Carolina on Thursday.

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