Swing State Poll Shows Trump on Roll

     (CN) – Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and her GOP rival Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat in Ohio, but Clinton’s numbers are slipping in two other all-important swing states, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.
     Trump now leads Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvania.
     The poll focuses on these three states because no candidate has won the presidency since 1960 without winning at least of them.
     In head-to-head comparisons, Trump has surged in Florida, where he now leads Clinton 42 to39 percent. As recently as June 21, Clinton led Trump, 47 to 39 percent.
     In Pennsylvania, Trump has gained a percentage point, and now leads Clinton 43 to 41 percent. Trump was also in the lead in Quinnipiac’s June 21 poll, but led then only 42 to 41 percent.
     The two candidates have been tied in Ohio in the last two measures of voter sentiment by the university.
     The poll also looked at how the numbers shake out when third-party candidates are factored in; in all three cases, Trump came out ahead.
     In Florida, the latest Quinnipiac University poll has Trump over Clinton, 41 to 36 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson garnering the support of 7 percent of respondents, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receiving 4 percent.
     In Ohio, Trump leads Clinton 37 to 36 percent, with Johnson again receiving support from 7 percent of survey participants and Stein, 6 percent.
     In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Clinton 40 to 34 percent, with Johnson getting 9 percent, and Stein, 3 percent.
     Peter Brown, the assistant director of the poll, said in a statement that there is no definite link between Clinton’s drop in Florida and U.S. Justice Department’s decision not to prosecute her for her handling of emails while she was secretary of state.
     However, Brown said, Clinton has definitely lost ground to Trump among poll participants on questions that measure moral standards and honesty.
     Quinnipiac University conducted the polls by phone between June 30 and July 11.
     The university surveyed 1,015 Florida voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent; 955 Ohio voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3.2 percent; and 982 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.

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