Wednesday, September 27, 2023
Courthouse News Service
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Stocks Soar as Election|Enters Home Stretch

(CN) - The U.S. stock market opened sharply higher on Monday after the FBI said it would take no further action over Hillary Clinton's emails, and the latest round of opinion polls appears to show the chances of a Donald Trump presidency are fading.

Both Clinton and Trump and their surrogates will make their final dashes across the country in a last-ditch bid to rally swing state supporters and woo the most stubbornly undecided voters.

Trump will visit five battleground states on Monday; Clinton will appear in three.

But as of Monday morning, the momentum appears to be firmly with the Democrat.

The final NBC News/Survey Monkey poll of the 2016 race has Clinton up by 7 points over Trump in a head-to-head matchup, and up by six points when Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party's Jill Stein are added to the mix.

The CBS News poll has Clinton up by 4 points, as do the final ABC/Washington Post and Fox News tracking polls.

The CBS News poll found that the vast majority of likely voters are now firm in their choice, and most voters expect Clinton to emerge victorious Tuesday night.

Trump leads among white men, whites without college degrees and senior citizens. Clinton leads among women, backs, younger voters and college-educated whites.

The poll also found that Clinton has closed the so-called enthusiasm gap, which her voters now more likely to say they are very enthusiastic about voting that Trump's voters.

As recently as last week, Trump was ahead in the enthusiasm column.

The ABC/Washington Post is interesting because it suggests that despite the momentary controversies each of the major candidates has weathered since last summer, their relative positions in the polls on Nov. 7 are virtually identical to what they were in June: Clinton, 47 percent; Trump, 42 percent; Johnson 5 percent; and Stein, 2 percent.

The ABC/Washington Post poll finds Trump with a 16-point advantage among whites, leading Clinton 53 percent to 37 percent, but the Democrat crushing him among everybody else. Clinton leads Trump 77 percent to 15 percent among nonwhites, including 89 percent to 7 percent among blacks, and 71 percent to 19 percent among Hispanics.

ABC News is also reporting that in terms of the electoral college, Trump now has virtually no change of securing the 270 votes he needs to become the next president.

To win, Trump needs to take a state like Michigan, in the nation's rust belt, but no state polls show him winning there.

Trump does lead in two polls on Monday.

According to the latest analysis from Investor's Business Daily, the GOP standard-bearer is up on Clinton by 2 points. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Times/USC Tracking poll has Trump up by 5 points.

So what about the battleground states?

ABC News says 15 states and two congressional districts are toss-ups on Election Day; 35 states and the District of Columbia are already considered a lock for either Clinton or Trump.

The states currently seen as tossups are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire and North Carolina.

States leaning Democratic are Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Races leaning Republican include Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, Utah and Nebraska.

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