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Thursday, April 18, 2024 | Back issues
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South Lake Tahoe under mandatory evacuation orders as Caldor Fire sweeps into basin

Experts say a combination of climate and non-climate factors have made the blaze "the nightmare fire for the region.”

(CN) — Residents in much of the Lake Tahoe Basin have been ordered to flee the area as the Caldor Fire continues its rampage through the El Dorado National Forest.

According to updates from Cal Fire, evacuation orders were in effect throughout El Dorado County, extending everywhere from the gated lakefront community of Tahoe Keys and destinations like Heavenly Ski Resort to the Nevada state line. Thousands of residents were instructed to head east on U.S. Route 50 toward Nevada for safety.

Barton Health confirmed it would “completely close” all its South Lake Tahoe facilities, including Barton Memorial Hospital and the emergency medical department. In a statement, Barton said it was relocating all patients to “regional partner facilities.”

As of Tuesday morning, the wildfire has blackened more than 191,000 acres and is about 16% contained, down from 19% over the weekend. It has already wreaked massive damage, destroying 486 residences, including nearly all of the Grizzly Flats community. As of Monday afternoon, the blaze has also damaged 40 structures and five people have been injured. More than 33,000 structures are threatened.

Clay Josephy, a doctor at the University of California, San Francisco, who lives in Christmas Valley south of Lake Tahoe, described in an interview the anxious days before evacuation orders went out for residents on Sunday and Monday. Josephy said he first received an evacuation warning for his neighborhood a few days ago.

“The path of the fire as it enters into Tahoe Basin is basically coming down directly onto my neighborhood,” Josephy said. He said that on Sunday, the reported weather was “benign” and that he thought there could be “positive movement during the day in terms of firefighting efforts.”

But the blaze continued to burn its way up the ridge, threatening everything in its path, including Josephy’s hopeful optimism.

“By noon [on Sunday], Christmas Valley had filled with just the densest, darkest ash shower that I’d seen so far,” Josephy said. Later that afternoon, the evacuation warning became an evacuation order — not just for Christmas Valley, but for a broader swath of the area.

Josephy said he is closely watching the internet for updates. He said that as far as he knows, the fire seems to be approximately a mile from his home.

During a press briefing Monday evening, a spokesperson for the Cal Fire Amador-El Dorado unit said the fire had moved into the Meyers area, where Christmas Valley is located.

"It is not necessarily impacting structures at this moment," the Cal Fire representative said. "We do have a large contingent of resources that have been pushed into that area to assess and assist with the firefight. We expect that to continue into the night, just based on the expected fire behavior and the weather that we will be experiencing over the next 24 to 48 hours."

Officials thanked the communities throughout the South Lake Tahoe region for their compliance with the evacuation orders, though following that guidance could be an emotionally fraught decision for some evacuees. Many waited for hours in traffic on Highway 50 as vehicles packed full of residents and their belongings fled the area.

“There’s a lot of emotions. It’s kind of difficult to parse through them,” Josephy said, describing his empathy for people experiencing displacement from the wildfires and other natural disasters. Though both he and his wife have fled, Josephy said it was challenging to navigate the conflicting emotions of gratitude for his family’s safety with concern for his home.

“Hopefully there won’t be a loss of life, and that’s what really counts,” Josephy said. “Nobody wants to come out and say, ‘I care about my material possessions,’ because at the end of the day, they’re just material possessions. But there’s a lot of love, a lot of blood, sweat and tears; there’s a lot of memories and a lot of life lived in our homes. To leave your home not knowing if you’re ever going to see it again is a pretty strange experience, and I know a lot of people can relate to that.”

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Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles, said in an interview that the next 24 to 48 hours will be “critical” due to the current winds blowing from the southwest toward South Lake Tahoe. He noted that embers from the blaze are igniting “a mile or more in front of the fire,” heightening the fire’s extreme conditions.

“This was something that I think a lot of folks are in disbelief about, even fire experts, because usually, things like that granite barrier along the summit where vegetation gets really sparse act as a pretty effective firebreak,” Swain said. “But this fire is sort of threading the needle. It's coming up Highway 50, where there's a little more vegetation.”

Swain said the risks are high, pointing to the largest fire in Colorado state history, where strong winds pushed the blaze over the two mile-wide Continental Divide.

“There was like a continuous two-mile-wide firebreak, and the fire still managed to jump over it because of strong winds pushing from west to east. And that's somewhat analogous to the situations that South Lake Tahoe is facing today,” said Swain.

Swain, who provides updates on extreme weather events and climate disasters on Twitter, said the Caldor Fire’s encroachment into the Tahoe Basin shows “how climate change and a bunch of other non-climate factors are sort of converging to create a really pretty serious situation.”

He said that climate change is exacerbating fire season, which was already made riskier by California’s “extreme drought." He also said that the fire suppression policies of the 20th century “led to an extinguishment of as many fires as possible, at the expense of the ecologically beneficial lower intensity fires, which would have acted as a natural thinning of some of the forest.”

South Lake Tahoe has a “wildland urban interface problem, where there are more people than ever living in what has long been known to be a high-potential fire risk zone," Swain said. Consequently, the destructive potential and human cost of the Caldor Fire are increased.

“All of these things are now coinciding,” Swain said. “And we now have what is arguably the nightmare fire for the region.”

Swain said he and virtually all of the other experts he has spoken to see the wildfire situation getting worse in recent years, referencing the intensity and difficulty controlling wildfires like the Caldor Fire and the massive Dixie Fire further north. As of Monday morning, the Dixie Fire — now the second largest fire in recorded California history — had burned over 771,000 acres and was 48% contained.

As the firefighters work to push back the Caldor Fire, Swain said there is cause for concern.

“If we make it through the next 48 hours and the fire manages not to make significant advance into the basin, I think that the reprieve in winds later this week will probably allow firefighters to shore up some of the control lines on the eastern flank, which will put the area in better shape,” Swain said. “But that's a big if and I think that there's pretty significant risk today and tomorrow.”

During the Monday press conference, Cal Fire said it has more resources coming to help in the firefight, including an additional incident management team that would be integrated into the larger group battling the blaze. Firefighters will likely remain concentrated on the fire's eastern front for the next two days working against the wind.

"We do have very active fire behavior," the Cal Fire spokesperson said. "We expect this active firefight to continue over the next couple of days under this current weather condition. As we go through the next two days, we'll have a better assessment of how it looks."

Categories / Regional

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