Clinton, Trump Tied in Florida, Latest Polls Shows

     (CN) – Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are tied in the all-important battleground state of Florida, although the Democrat has the ever-so-slightest of edges when voters are asked to consider a four-person race that includes the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
     The latest New York Times Upshot/Siena College Florida poll, released Monday morning, shows Clinton and her GOP rival tied when voters are asked their preferences in a two-person race.
     When voters are asked to consider Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Clinton moves ahead by one point, with 41 percent of likely voters saying they support her, to 40 percent for Trump, 9 percent for Johnson and 2 percent for Stein.
     “Trump has as large a lead among Republicans (78 percent) as Clinton does with Democrats (77 points) and independents are evenly split 34 percent for Trump and 32 percent for Clinton with 18 percent for Johnson,” said Siena College Poll Director Don Levy.
     “Trump leads in the North, Bay Area and Central portions of the state, while Clinton leads in the vote rich Southeast. The Southwest portion of the state is a toss-up.” he said.
     Both candidates suffer from a majority of Florida voters having an unfavorable opinion of them.
     Clinton was viewed favorably by 40 percent of likely voters, while 53 percent viewed her unfavorably. Trump was viewed favorably by 39 percent of likely voters, and negatively by 55 percent.
     Majorities of black and Latinos voters view Clinton favorably, while half of white likely voters have a favorable opinion of Trump.
     Of those with an unfavorable opinion of both major party candidates, 33 percent said they would vote for Johnson, while 22 percent said they’d vote for Clinton and 17 percent said they vote for Trump.
     Florida is a battleground note only in the presidential race, but also on five key national issues.
     Of the likely voters who took part in the poll, a majority (49 percent to 43 percent) favor additional federal gun control legislation, oppose building a wall the length of the Mexican border (50 percent to 43 percent), favor government stimulus programs (44 percent to 37 percent).
     A majority are also unhappy with the Affordable Care Act (51 percent to 42 percent), but they are evenly divided when it comes to deporting undocumented immigrants who are in the U.S. illegally.
     The poll was conducted by telephone September 10-14, 2016, and have a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.
     In the meantime, two polls released Sunday show Clinton with decisive leads in Minnesota and Pennsylvania.
     The latest Star Tribune Minnesota poll shows Clinton up by 6 points in a four person race, with 44 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 38 percent, Johnson’s 6 percent and Stein’s 2 percent.
     Further 88 percent of respondents who support Clinton now said they are sure they will vote for her in November; while 89 percent of Trump’s supporters said they will stick with him on Election Day.
     Support for Johnson and Stein is much more fluid. Thirty-three percent of Johnson voters said they could change their minds between now and November, while 24 percent of Stein’s supports said they might change their minds about who to vote for between now and then.
     The new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll has Clinton leading Trump by eight points, with 40 percent of voters saying they prefer her, while 32 percent like Trump, 14 percent, Johnson, and 5 percent Stein.
     The poll found Clinton holding a significant lead among women, college-educated voters, and those who live in the state’s densely populated southeast.
     “Those are all cornerstones of Pennsylvania electoral math, and right now [Trump] is lagging in all those areas, said Chris Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion.
     Meanwhile, Trump continues to hold a 7 point nationally in the latest USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Presidential Election Daybreak Poll.

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